Intelligence And Homeland Security

1. Introduction:
Select
a terrorist organization likely to conduct a major and imminent attack
within the United States and complete an in-depth profile on the group
you selected. This is the first portion of a three part series
of research papers that are employed over the course of this class with
papers due in weeks 3, 6 and 8. This same terrorist group and the
hypothetical attack you describe in this Midterm paper will also be used
for your following Progress and Final papers. In the next paper
(progress assignment due in week 6) you will describe how to collect and
analyze on this terrorist group. In the final paper due in week 8 you
will describe how to stop the attack by making recommendations on how
the Homeland Security Enterprise can be better supported with domestic
intelligence.
2. Terrorist Group Profile (Organizational Assessment):
For
this midterm, write a 5-7 page research paper that provides a
description of the organization’s ideology, goals & objectives,
leadership, funding, and terrorist capabilities. Describe the
groups’ known or suspected weapons/lethal agents and delivery methods,
and the tactics, techniques and procedures that they may use here in the
homeland.
Make sure you pick either an international terrorist group from the Department of State list of foreign terrorist organizations,
or if you pick a domestic group make sure it is really a terrorist
organization (not just radicals). The Counter Extremist Project also has
good details on Extremists Groups
(but make sure to pick a terrorist organization). For example, the KKK
is not a terrorist group (or even illegal in fact), they are a domestic
hate group which has had members conduct violent acts and murder. For
more on that, see the FBI’s definition for international terrorism and domestic terrorism (while either a domestic or international group can work for these papers, overseas terrorist groups are the best ones to facilitate your following research papers).
This first Red Cell paper is only to set you up to be able to research
and write on how to conduct intelligence operations to protect the
Homeland (the following papers). So, a domestic terrorist group may make
your progress and final papers harder to write if the group is not
sending terrorists from overseas.
3. Hypothetical Terrorist Attack:
In
your paper describe in detail at least one major hypothetical terrorist
attack on the U.S. Homeland by this group — an event that could happen
in the immediate future (an imminent attack). You do not need
advance permission from the instructor on which group you choose, but if
you are considering a group unlikely to attack the U.S, Homeland, then
pick a different group that could potentially do so.
You
can describe the full spectrum of capabilities the group has to conduct
attacks on our Homeland in your paper from a specific single site attack
(an iconic building), to complex synchronized or multi-city attacks, or
even the use of WMDs. Describe only the terrorist capabilities and
weapons that are relevant to an attack on our homeland (for example it
does not matter that ISIS had battle tanks and other major weapons for
this paper, only what they have that could be brought here to attack the
US, or acquired here). You need to explain what the impending terrorist
attack on the U.S. homeland would look like and how they would do it —
such as attacking a specific sporting event or a certain target you
select for the organization. When it comes to picking a target(s) in one
or multiple cities for your hypothetical attack(s), you can use your
imagination and try to think like a terrorist (big impact, well covered
by media, and fear spreading), or you can also considered the list of 31 DHS designated “High-Risk Jurisdictions” to select from (page B-2).
Also,
it needs to be a planned attack by a group or at least a cell from the
group, it can NOT be a lone wolf, nor can the attack be by a radicalized
individual or citizens. While these homegrown attacks are much more
likely, these lone wolf or radicalized individuals attacking within the
U.S do not allow you to develop your future research papers on how to
collect, analyze and then disrupt these attacks (the topics of your
progress and final papers).
In
sum, you must describe a specific physical attack (not just a cyber
attack) on a target or targets that you assess the organization capable
of conducting, and it must be an attack within the U.S. Homeland and be
conducted by a trained group or a cell of terrorists (not homegrown or
cyber only attack). In other words, if you pick al Qaeda or ISIS/ISIL
then the attack cell needs to come from overseas like
happened on 9/11 or with the 2009 underwear bomber on coming into
Detroit or the NY City subway bombing plot, also in 2009 (a traditional
terrorist cell that was trained overseas). Tell us how it was planned,
surveyed, how they got in the U.S., how many there are in the attack
cell, etc. If you are stumped on what they could target specifically,
then I suggest this article Soft Targets are Easy Terror Targets.
Conducting
a successful major terrorist attack is complicated operation involving a
lot of planning, resourcing, reconnaissance, and rehearsals. Most
groups use the terrorist attack cycle and include separate teams or
cells for each of the following functions: support and logistics,
weapons and bomb-making, reconnaissance and scout teams, as well as the
attack cell itself. In your paper consider how your selected
organization will use the terrorist attack cycle (see the below STRATFOR
video for more) and make sure to specify exactly how many terrorists
are in this attack cell. Also specify how they will do the scouting and
reconnaissance, how will logistical and other support be secured, in
what manner will practice runs and rehearsals take place, and exactly
how will the attack unfold – so you need to specify how exactly they
will attack and what exact location or target will they attack in one
specific city (or multiple simultaneous attacks within one or more
cities).
So,
for your Red Cell papers, have your selected terrorist group use a cell
of at least 3 personnel in the attack cell and use an attack model. Some
example terrorist attack models include Tokyo sarin gas attack 1995, or
the London subway/bus bombings of 2005. You could also describe a
complex attack using multiple teams like happened in Mumbai India in
2008, the West Gate Mall Kenya in 2013, the Paris attack in 2015 (to
name a few). But an attack by a single individual is NOT what we are
looking for since a lone actor (an inspired/radicalized individual) is
not an attack by a terrorist cell (so no homegrown only attacks). Make
sure to explain exactly how many terrorists are in the attack cells; who
did the scouting/reconnaissance; who is providing logistical and other
support, how they infiltrated into the US, etc.
You may find this 3 minute STRATFOR Video on the terrorist attack cycle useful.
For more details see this 6 page appendix A on the Terrorist Planning Cycle in the Military Guide to Terrorism in the Twenty First Century (page 121).
Technical Requirements:
Your paper must be at a minimum of 5-7 pages (the Title and Reference pages do not count towards the minimum limit).
Scholarly and credible references should be used. A good rule of thumb is at least 2 scholarly sources per page of content.
Type in Times New Roman, 12 point and double space.
Students
will follow the current APA Style as the sole citation and reference
style used in written work submitted as part of coursework.
Points
will be deducted for the use of Wikipedia or encyclopedic type sources.
It is highly advised to utilize books, peer-reviewed journals,
articles, archived documents, etc.
All submissions will be graded using the attached rubric.

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