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Topic
Probability is used constantly in our lives. We rarely actually use numbers in our daily calculations but probability still controls much of our daily interactions.
Some examples:
1. My wife is always late. I would estimate that she is late perhaps 95% of the time. Based on this, I can plan events. One time I told her that the time we needed to arrive was one hour prior to the correct time. We arrived about 10 minutes early. This is a subjective probability where an estimate is based upon past experience. Although percents and probability are not exactly the same, we tend to use them in the same manner.
2. When I last went to Vegas, I played the poker machine. I am not much into gambling so I play the 25 cent play. I would have to determine the higher probability of winning given certain circumstances. For example, I might go for all hearts or three of a kind based upon this mental calculation (assuming four hearts of which one is the jack of hearts and the non-heart is a jack of diamonds). Based upon probability:
P(flush or all hearts) = 9/47 (the dealt card needs to be a heart, 47 cards remaining of which 9 are hearts) = 19.15%
P(three jacks) = 2/47 (the dealt card needs to be a jack, 47 cards remaining of which 2 are jacks) = 4.26%
This is assuming that you get a brand new deck each round of video poker. Most people choose to go for the three of a kind but the flush has a better chance.

Come up with at least two examples of probability in your life.
This assignment will be turned into turnitin.com

Some of the best predictors of successful aging are an individual’s general negativity towards life, as well as the sense of control or one’s ability to adapting to life’s events (expected or not!). Looking back over your virtual life course, what sorts of experiences could contribute to successful aging, and which could have put you at risk for poor transition through the final stages of life?

This exercise will be a writing process where you will tell me about two famous Economists that are still discussed years after their death. In the 6-page paper, I want you to tell me about the contributions of each, some examples of their beliefs in todays economy, and how the two differ in their beliefs of role of government.
It is a College Paper so I look for all references and sources at the end with APA style.
There is lots and lots of material available for both. The problem may be in distilling it to a concise 6- page delivery answering my questions posed above. I encourage you to apply the things we have talked about in this class to date to the two economists. I include a rubric to refer to so you get the best score you can on this 100-point assignment.

so we did a group project, split into small teams working towards one final group team event project, which the students took ownership of. The small groups are formed by each student taking on a role within the team, in the planning, promotion and marketing for a digital fashion event. The teams are to work in partnership with the designers.
The group task involved:
Marketing of the event Social media (all platforms) Connecting with industry
Merchandising of the product range consideration to the design and market of the product
Managing the task and adhering to a timeline
Digital event finale
so we did all this : PLEASE SEE THE INSTAGRAM PAGE of the event is : castleagencyuol

For the reflective summary consider the following.

Start with a summary of your role ( MY ROLE WAS social media assistant ) within the event. Images can be used to show certain tasks, ideas, personal achievements. Remember this is about you not the team and what they did within the task. Of course, if there is something that on reflection could have been improved by greater involvement that affected you personally and your role, then mention this. Or did another member of the team support and strengthen the group or your role in the group work?

This can be divided up into sections.
An introduction
Body paragraphs
Step 1: The theme
Step 2: Brainstorm ideas and experiences you’ve had related to the task
Step 3: Analyse how and why these ideas and experiences affected the task

What were the project goals and how did you attempt to achieve them?
What did you learn?
What did you do and feel?
What did others feel?
What was the outcome?
What were your personal strengths and weaknesses that were revealed?

Labor laws, that is, laws that govern the relationship, and enforce standards of conduct, between employers and the employed, exist because frictionless economic efficiency can often operate to the disadvantage of the employed, even to the point of the violation of the basic civil rights of the employed. Expound on why labor laws exist and provide three (3) examples within an organization of how labor laws are used.

You will need to include in-text citations and a references list for external references used in supporting your points for this question. You should have no fewer than 7 references for your response to this particular question, 4 of which must be from peer-reviewed sources. Use APA formatting where appropriate.

This speech MUST follow the Monroe Motivated Sequence, which has five steps: Attention, Need, Satisfaction, Visualization, and Action.
Body Point A – Need
Transition Statements
Body Point B – Satisfaction
Transition Statements
Body Point D – Visualization
Conclusion
Warn Audience
Restate Central Idea
Recap Main Points
Action – What you want from your audience and how they can help today!
– Please write paper following all instaructions and example paper.

You are being asked to create a PowerPoint
presentation. Your presentation will present your ability to explain each
defined part of a central tendency in relationship to a normal bell
curve. Include the following major items in your presentation:
Use a creative testing scenario to help develop
the following pieces of information.
1. Title Slide (1 slide)
2. Explain the context in which this testing
situation is taking place and the content that will be examined and
specifically the population from which it was collected. (1-2 slides)
3. Discuss the various pieces that a researcher can
explain that are included as a part of the central tendencies of analyzing
data, giving concrete examples of each. (2-4 slides)
4. Display and explain the use of a normal bell
curve in relation to its application in understanding standardized test
results. (1-2 slides)
5. Explain how various findings may be helpful in
developing options to support test growth during selected time intervals
throughout the school year. (2-4 slides)
6. References (1 slide)

It is one of the most clich of clichs, but it nevertheless rings true: The only constant is change. As a nursing professional, you are no doubt aware that success in the healthcare field requires the ability to adapt to change, as the pace of change in healthcare may be without rival.
As a professional, you will be called upon to share expertise, inform, educate, and advocate. Your efforts in these areas can help lead others through change. In this Assignment, you will propose a change within your organization and present a comprehensive plan to implement the change you propose.
To Prepare:
Review the Resources and identify one change that you believe is called for in your organization/workplace.
This may be a change necessary to effectively address one or more of the issues you addressed in the Workplace Environment Assessment you submitted in Module 4. It may also be a change in response to something not addressed in your previous efforts. It may be beneficial to discuss your ideas with your organizational leadership and/or colleagues to help identify and vet these ideas.
Reflect on how you might implement this change and how you might communicate this change to organizational leadership.
The Assignment (5-6-minute narrated PowerPoint presentation):
Change Implementation and Management Plan
Create a narrated PowerPoint presentation of 5 or 6 slides with video that presents a comprehensive plan to implement the change you propose.
Your narrated presentation should be 56 minutes in length.
Your Change Implementation and Management Plan should include the following:
An executive summary of the issues that are currently affecting your organization/workplace (This can include the work you completed in your Workplace Environment Assessment previously submitted, if relevant.)
A description of the change being proposed
Justifications for the change, including why addressing it will have a positive impact on your organization/workplace
Details about the type and scope of the proposed change
Identification of the stakeholders impacted by the change
Identification of a change management team (by title/role)
A plan for communicating the change you propose
A description of risk mitigation plans you would recommend to address the risks anticipated by the change you propose

Traits of the Native Hawaiians ethnic group (500 words)
Describe the ethnic group in terms of culture, population, and characteristics and trends of this ethnic group.
Research recent statistics from formal sources such as the U.S. Census data or other information databases to discuss current trends for this specific ethnic group
Make an assessment of the ethnic groups status in U.S. society. Do they represent the minority, majority, middle minority? What accounts for barriers to social mobility, if any exists for this ethnic group?

Please view the Kotter’s 8 Video click here: KOTTER’S 8 STEP ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE MODEL FC | TED-Ed
https://ed.ted.com/on/7epP2Yzd
Apply each step of Kotter’s 8 ( I have supplied the first step ) to Carl’s Carwash.
provide well written and supported paragraphs to answer the following:Describe what you would do at every step in detail using

Applying Kotters 8 Step Model
Carl is an owner of a local carwash that has struggled to maintain a steady flow of customers in the past months. The reasons for this change range from a poor economy to the recent building of two franchise carwash locations within ten miles of Carls carwash. Carl knows that if he does not do something quick to change the current status of his carwash he will soon be out of business.
After much deliberation and brainstorming, Carl has decided to introduce an interior shampooing service to the menu of services the carwash offers. The goal is to generate additional revenue and maintain a competitive advantage over other carwashes in the area. From past experience, Carl understands how important it is to use a change model to guide the process of implementing this new service. He turns to Kotters 8 Steps
1. ESTABLISING A SENSE OF URGENCY
To establish a sense of urgency, Carl holds a meeting with his staff to discuss the current financial situation at the carwash. He informs his employees that they are all on the verge of losing their jobs due to the limited revenue coming into the carwash. Carl assures his employees that closing the doors to the carwash is the last thing he wants to do, but that is a reality that they are all facing. He explains the need for change at the carwash and shows the connection between making changes and creating job security for his employees.
Carls employees recognize their jobs as being in jeopardy and express their commitment to making whatever changes are necessary to secure the longevity of their jobs and the carwash.
* attached is the textbook for this course which can be used for 1 reference
**Also attached is the grading rubic
*** Establishing a sense is urgency is provided above but please expand on that step.